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123 Nov 28 '18
It is often the finest of margins that differentiate the good from the great. Cheap NBA Jerseys Authentic . For a while, it looked as though Ariya Jutanugarn was headed for the former.But after becoming the first golfer from Thailand -- male or female -- to win a major championship, it seems as though there is nothing stopping her from eventually evolving into a master of the game.Born to parents who own a golf pro shop in Bangkok, Jutanugarn picked up the sport when she was only 5 and started to raise eyebrows when she broke Michelle Wies record as the youngest player to qualify for an LPGA Tour event.That happened in 2007 when she qualified for the Honda LPGA Thailand at the age of 11 years, 11 months and two days. Her mark stood until Lucy Li played her way into the 2014 U.S. Womens Open.From then on, it seemed only a matter of time before Jutanugarn would crack the big time, especially given her aggressive and bold approach.She went on to win the U.S. Girls Junior Championship in 2011 and was a two-time American Junior Golf Association Player of the Year, but the first real resistance to her rise came in 2013 due to a shoulder injury brought about by a freak accident.Following surgery, Jutanugarn embarked on the long road to recovery, but she then approached her next hurdle in the form of a disappointing 2015, where she missed the cut at ten consecutive tournaments.The turning point looked to have arrived at the first major of 2016, when she held a two-stroke lead with three holes remaining at the ANA Inspiration, only for a stunning collapse that saw her close with successive bogeys and ultimately finish fourth.Still only 20 at the time, and with the possibility of yet another futile year ahead, she could have buckled under the pressure.But Jutanugarn is made of sterner stuff.Just three weeks after that meltdown, she landed her first LPGA Tour title when she won the Yokohama Tire LPGA Classic.A fortnight later, she won the Kingsmill Championship and, immediately after, another triumph arrived in the form of the LPGA Volvik Championship. That made her the first player in LPGA history to win her first three titles in consecutive starts.With no more doubts hanging over her, Jutanugarn then claimed the biggest prize of her career thus far, producing four rounds of consistent and composed golf to win the Ricoh Womens British Open by three strokes.The victory capped off a stunning turnaround in fortunes, but it appears that the secret to her success was little more than a mind trick.In several interviews, Jutanugarn has said that she now focuses on being happy even before she hits a shot and is more in control of her emotions.Being destined for a sport from a young age is one thing, but learning to love it is another.Since that major triumph, Jutanugarn, now 21, claimed the Canadian Pacific Womens Open and finished the year ranked No. 2 in the world while topping the money list with over US$2.5 million in winnings.She will head into 2017 brimming with belief and confidence.Only time will tell what she ultimately achieves in her career, although there can be no denying that Jutanugarn has taken the correct direction after approaching a fork in the road -- and is now on the path to greatness. Stitched Nike NBA Jerseys . With the short-handed Warriors needing help from someone -- anyone -- to stop a three-game skid, ONeal returned from right knee and groin injuries that had sidelined him for four games and put up season highs with 18 points and eight rebounds. It was just enough to help lift Golden State to a 102-101 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday night. Discount Nike NBA Jerseys . And when it opened, every player was at his stall. Thats a sure sign that a team is in a slump and is searching for answers. "Its embarrassing to be at home and play the way we did," said defenceman Josh Gorges. http://www.cheapnbajerseyssigned.com/ . The winner Saturday will remain in the elite 10-team field next year. "We talked about wanting to be disciplined and stick with our game plan and good things will come," Draisaitl said, who had two goals for the victors. Almost seven years ago, I first wrote that I thought it was possible/plausible that Alex Ovechkin could one day pass Wayne Gretzkys 894 career goals total, which was previously thought to be unreachable. Ovechkin was 24 at the time.Ovechkin was at ESPN to film his This Is SportsCenter Russian spy spot?in late 2009, and I asked him about the possibility of catching Gretzky. He was surprised at the question and didnt know what to say. I dont think he had been asked about it before, which is understandable. I also think he was nervous about working with Steve Levy (hes only human), and he was a tad rattled.Ovechkin told Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet in Canada in September about the possibility of passing Gretzkys total: In this hockey right now, in this league, I think its impossible. I dont think somebody will beat this record.Back in that January 2010 blogumn, I projected Ovechkin would finish with 51 goals in the 2009-10 season. He finished with 50. That gave him 269 goals through that 2009-10 season. So, back in early 2010, I laid out a blueprint for Ovechkin to reach 895 career goals, one better than Gretzkys record.The first part of my hypothesis was that Ovechkin would have to be largely injury-free and play until he was 40. Also, as I wrote back in 2010, Players who have booming shots age slower in terms of goal totals. So does playing on good teams.Except for Ovechkins first two seasons (both of which were exactly 70-point seasons for the Washington Capitals), his teams have been good. And remember, Jaromir Jagr turns 45 in February. Ovechkin, like Jagr, has a giant butt and good genes and, so far, good luck with health.So what follows are my Ovechkin goal projections and his age (conjunction junction) at the time I wrote them in 2010. Included are comments from 2010 in parentheses and updated comments, along with a running tab on how the projection is going against 894.Ovechkin was at 269 career goals when I began the following theory:Age -- Projected goals total25 -- 71(Comment from 2010: Hes got to have one more monster year.)Ovechkin would go on to have his worst season to date: 32 goals in 79 games. The projection is now a minus-39 against the 894 projection! As I wrote then, now he needs a monster season.26 -- 66Another down year: Ovechkin had 38 goals in 78 games. Im now a minus-67 against the projection. Maybe this wasnt such a good idea.27 -- 60Lockout. A really good season for Ovechkin that will cost him about 20 goals in his career total. Ovechkin had 32 goals in 48 games, a 50-goal-plus pace. Hes now a minus-95.28 -- 51I had this season right on the money. Ovechkin scored 51 goals in his 28-year-old season and won his fourth Rocket Richard Trophy for most goals in the league.29 -- 55Close again. I had him with 55 five years into the future, and Ovechkin posted 53 to win his fifth Rocket Richard Trophy. Hes now minus-97 against the 894 projection.30 -- 48(From 2010: Gretzkys last 40-goal season -- 41 goals -- was at age 30.)In his 30-year-old season, which was last year, Ovechkin hit the 50-goal mark for the third straight season, his fourth straight Rocket Richard Trophy and sixth overall. Hes minus-95 against the projection.Once Gretzky hit 30, his shots per game, and thus his goals per game, dropped considerably. After Gretzkys first full season as a 30-year-old (1991-92), he didnt score 40 goals again and had just two 30-goal seasons. I dont think Ovechkin will have the same erosion.31 -- 52This is the current season. Ovechkin is off to a pretty good start. He could hit my 52-goal projection, but his pace is just a little under 50 goals. One concern is that Capitals coach Barry Trotz is starting to manage No. 8s minutes, which has dropped Ovechkins shots per game average, the most important statistic for scoring goals. This is the second-lowest season for shots on goal for Ovechkin.So, although my 52 this season is still possible, lets go conservative and give Ovechkin 45 goals. That would leave him with 570 career goals as he finishes his 31-year-old season. That means, after this season, Ovechkin would need 325 goals to pass Gretzkys record of 894.Lets stay with the projections from 2010 that I made for the next nine seasons and see where that gets us for Ovi:32 -- 45Forty-five goals next season does not seem outlandish. This still seems plausible. The Capitals are blessed with talented centers to set up Ovechkin. Although, with approaching salaryy-cap concerns, they could see a scoring drop-off as a team. Authentic Nike NBA Gear. 33 -- 55This might be a little bullish, but it is the final season I have Ovechkin with a 50-goal-plus season, and it is only two years away. Some years, as we are seeing with Sidney Crosby this season, everything can go your way when it comes to scoring. Having one more big season from Ovechkin would help his chances.34 -- 40(From 2010: Steve Yzerman had his last 30-goal season at age 34, when he had 35 goals.)I have Ovechkins goal erosion beginning three years from now, during his 34-year-old season. I am curious if, at any point in the coming years, Ovechkin will try to play 15 pounds lighter to counter losing speed in a league going almost exclusively with players who can wheel.Also, will he start a family, which possibly changes his priorities? Jagr has married hockey, and his myopic dedication has kept him producing into his mid-40s. If Ovechkin is going to break Gretzkys record, he needs to keep that childlike enthusiasm he has brought to the game since he first arrived.35 -- 37This would be Ovechkins first season without at least 40 goals (in a full season) in nine years.36 -- 32This would tie Ovechkins career-low for goals, which he had in his 25-year-old season.37 -- 40(From 2010: Phil Esposito and Brendan Shanahan both had 40-goal seasons at age 37)Another factor in the coming years to consider is how expansion could help Ovechkin. Bobby Orr and Gretzky benefited from expansion. In Orrs first seven seasons, the NHL went from six teams to 12, to 14, to 16, constantly spreading out the talent. The NHL went from 17 teams to 21 teams for Gretzkys rookie season.Expansion spreads talent out and usually creates weaker teams, which helps offense, if the rulebook is called as stated. The Vegas Golden Knights will make their debut in 2017-18 as the NHLs 31st team, and more is expansion coming. Perhaps Ovechkin can benefit from the first expansion he has experienced in the NHL. It has been a 30-team league since he arrived in 2005.38 -- 32(From 2010: Brett Hull had 37 goals at age 38.)I feel Hull, Esposito and Shanahan (and Jagr, from a body standpoint) are decent comparables to Ovechkin. Thick bodies, and in Hulls and Shanahans case, a big shot that age doesnt diminish as much as it does speed.39 -- 28Mark Recchi scored 18 goals as a 41-year-old, so 28 goals in Ovechkins 39-year-old season is doable.40 -- 27Here we arrive at 40 years old.These projections over nine seasons seem rather reasonable to me, using historical precedents of players with similar attributes. Of course, multiple events can change things. But, after this season, I have projected Ovechkin with only one more 50-goal season, and four 40-plus seasons (two of them with exactly 40).What total do we get when we add up these nine years of projections? 336 goals. Add that to his 570 goals we projected after a 45-goal season this year, and that gives Ovechkin 906. Good lord, thats a lot of goals.We could lop off 11 goals from that projected 55-goal season I projected in two years at age 33 and make it a 44-goal season. Even after doing that, Ovechkin still gets to 895.Ovechkin can get to 895 in nine years without another 50-goal season, or even a 40-goal season. Ovechkin needs to average 36 goals a season over the next nine, assuming he gets to 45 goals this season.The insurance for Ovechkin on breaking Gretzkys record is that if he is short of the 894 mark after the next nine full seasons, he has time in his 40s to break the record if he is close and has the appetite and health to eclipse it.With a dedication to fitness, diet and making the proper adjustments (hanging out closer to the net), Ovechkin could add two to three seasons, play until he is 43 (Chris Chelios played until he was 48) and score another 40-50 goals.Is it still a long shot? Ovechkin will get his 600th career goal next season, when he is 32. Hell likely get his 700th goal when he is 35, and he should get 800 by 38 or 39. If he can get to 800 by 39, then four more years should get him 95 more goals.It would be a fascinating time. Arguably the greatest record chase in the history of the NHL, similar in stature and, somewhat, in tone to Hank Aaron chasing Babe Ruth. The Russian bear chasing Canadian royalty.We will be watching. Goals are fun. Cheap Nike Chiefs Jerseys Chargers Jerseys China Wholesale Raiders Jerseys China Cowboys Jerseys China Cheap Giants Jerseys Hoodies Cheap Eagles Jerseys Free Shipping Cheap Nike Redskins Jerseys Lions Jerseys China Green Bay Packers Jerseys For Sale Wholesale Vikings Jerseys China Panthers Jerseys China Saints Jerseys China Cheap Buccaneers Jerseys Free ShippingWholesale Cardinals Jerseys China Cheap Nike Rams Jerseys 49ers Jerseys China Wholesale Seahawks Jerseys China Cheap Nike Bears Jerseys Bills Jerseys China Cheap Nike Ravens Jerseys Cheap Falcons Jerseys Hoodies ' ' '
Max Jul 21 '20
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